Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Quote of the Day, Jr.


"Nate Silver seems to have some weird allegedly statistics-based process where he analyzes the data from polls and predicts which candidate will win a state or an election and he assigns a percent chance they will win it. I don't see any validity to it at all and certainly I don't view it as any kind of 'scientific' process. It entirely seems like voodoo statistics to me and it might as well be entirely made up what he comes up with. Imperfect as it is, and it can only be imperfect, the only real way to predict the results of any political election contest is to conduct surveys and polls."

-- Dean Chambers, founder of the conservative panic-assuaging website "Unskewed Polls," which predicts that Mitt Romney will win by a virtual landslide next week because, well, he will

So there you have it. Translation: Math = voodoo. Brought to you in the form of a barely comprehensible word salad by a guy who's entire "scientific process" involves indiscriminately pulling numbers out of his ass.

We're so far beyond parody at this point. The very notion of "Unskewed Polls" is like a Mobius strip of meta-stupidity. I'm really beginning to think that the entire modern conservative movement is coming from the mind of Charlie Kaufman, who's discovered that somehow what he writes truly does become reality.

9 comments:

Drew said...

I hope every right winger pays strict attention to Dean Chambers and snuggles into their blankies feeling confident that Romney will win.

When Mitt loses (here's to hoping) it'll come as a shock to their system that their beloved Dean was wrong and their beloved lying robot lost. I want to see their faces when their balloon is popped like the opening scene in "Despicable Me".

Entropy Hed said...

Apparently, college level statistics is sufficiently advanced enough to be indistinguishable from magic in some places.

Tuba Terry said...

I'm pretty sure his 'It's not perfect, so throw it all out!' comment is nothing new at all. It's just nice to see someone on the right doing it instead of a bunch of self-defeating 'progressives' doing it for once.

Like Drew commented, I'm kinda happy to see someone on the right doing it, and I hope others follow suit.

JohnF said...

HOW DO I MATH?

Anonymous said...

So, if I'm reading this correctly, aggregating data from surveys and polls is voodoo and the only way to determine who's leading is with surveys and polls?

ZIRGAR said...

All this protest despite Nate Silver's unsciency, voodooriffic prophesying being about 98 percent right in all of his previous skewings.

Matt said...

Part of this goes back to living in the bubble chamber. Anything that doesn't line up with your world view must be wrong or illegitimate. It's part of why the right freaked out so much when Obama was first elected. Fox News said the election was in the bag and that there would be no way for McCain to lose, so the right wingers were completely gobsmacked. "He must have STOLEN the election somehow! Now let me stick my fingers in my ears and go LALALALALALALALALA again!"

L. said...

I mean he has a point, my statistics class in college was pretty expensive because in addition to the book, I also had to pick up a chicken, an altar, and a sacrificial blade. Plus the janitors got super bitchy about cleaning up the mess. Something about blood staining the linoleum or something, I don't know.

bafreeman said...

Nate Silver's well on his way to Krugmanhood--nearly always right, but nearly half of the country will dismiss him out of hand.